Another Impact Day ahead as storms head for Northwest Alabama late Wednesday

It felt like summer all day. On Tuesday, we hit *** record high in Tuscaloosa and we came close in Birmingham and we're going to do this again tomorrow. *** lot of mid eighties around feeling very hot and humid on Wednesday. But then it's Wednesday night and early Thursday morning where we start dealing with the potential for some impact weather and the majority of this is going to happen northwest of Birmingham. Now, what do I mean by northwest of Birmingham? I mean, north and west communities like Coleman and Decatur, Athens, Huntsville, Russellville, Haleyville, Double Springs into Jasper and Cordova, Tuscaloosa, Northport Reform, Fayette Hamilton. This is the area of northwestern Alabama and of course, Mississippi and Tennessee are *** part of that as well where *** few severe thunderstorms are *** little more likely coming up Wednesday night after eight PM, going through the very first few hours of Thursday morning, maybe about 2 to 3 AM. Is it *** major threat? No, not really not for the central part of the state, but there could be *** few locally intense thunderstorms with some gusty winds or some hail, especially across northwest Alabama. So as we look at the forecast modeling from Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning. We'll start this at *** few key points. Look at this line of thunderstorms from around Chicago to ST Louis, southwest to Little Rock, Arkansas and then down into the southern part of Arkansas and eastern Texas. Some of these still could be severe early Wednesday morning. But the majority of these storms on Wednesday, they're going to fizzle somewhat through the first part of the day, then they may re fire in Mississippi. Look at these big downpours down southeast of Memphis and then right along the Mississippi river, all of this will be tracking northeastward to West Alabama and in particular, the shoals to Hamilton Russellville, some of the same places that have been rocked lately may end up with another round of pretty hefty thunderstorms late tomorrow night. Now, if the triple R model, the Her is on to something here. These storms in northwest Alabama from Lauderdale County through Colbert Franklin, Marion Fayette Walker, Winston into Lawrence County, Limestone County. If it's got this right, I think these are probably producing hail and maybe some 40 to 50 mile per hour wind gusts around midnight, Wednesday night into early Thursday morning. But then what happens with them? Well, they weaken and then *** few more thunderstorms will develop in the overnight hours into Morgan and Winston Walker, Fayette, Northwest Tuscaloosa County. It's the same areas mainly northwest of Birmingham. So we kind of highlight this part of the state right here for that greater risk of some impact weather. So our impact day, Wednesday night into Thursday is mainly for the area that's circled right there in front of you Coleman down to near Birmingham, near Tuscaloosa and then northwest of there toward the Shoals. Well, then what happens Thursday afternoon? It gets *** little bit interesting as this line of thunderstorms fizzles. There will be *** big, big contrast between some very warm air that is untapped, very unstable down here to the south and some rain cooled air up here to the north. So what do you get in that situation? Well, turns out that you wind up with something akin to *** cold front and often along boundaries like that, we can have some pretty strong thunderstorms and that may be what happens in *** few spots around Birmingham up to Anne and Gadsden Thursday afternoon. Is it *** major risk of severe weather? No, not really. And it won't last all that long And that should essentially be the end of the thunderstorm activity from this particular round after that. I think it's just somewhat wet going into Friday and Saturday. So overnight into Wednesday morning, *** few spotty showers rain, not that big *** deal to start out today. Wednesday, isolated storms coming up on Wednesday afternoon, the high around 85, It is going to be *** warm one out there. So impact weather on Wednesday, the high up to 85. We're expecting it to maybe get close to 90 based on some of the data coming in over West Jefferson County, we had *** couple of spots touching 90 today. I think officially the high at Birmingham Shuttlesworth international will be around 85. But there may be *** few communities in Jefferson County that are able to get *** higher than that. And the chance of *** thunderstorm pretty low for most of the day. Thursday is where we have that better chance of heavy thunderstorms, especially Northwest Alabama. Good Friday. We've got *** good chance of rain and this is going to be tough to determine where we have windows of opportunity to get things done outside. If you had *** Good Friday service that was planned to be outdoors or there are lots and lots of things. Easter egg hunts, whatever it might be, there will be waves of rain on again, off again throughout the day and into early Saturday morning. But if there's any good news to be found here, this is one PM Saturday by six o'clock Saturday evening, we are starting to see the risk of widespread rain tapering off from northwest to southeast. So much so that even though rain is likely on Saturday, Easter Sunday is looking drier and now may be cloudy and damp and we'll see some rain now and then early in the morning hours. But I think most of the day is going to be dry. So if you had sunrise services planned, whatever it might be, I think Easter Sunday itself is going to turn out to be ok. Just *** little cool and then we'll be warming up again to the first part of next week.